MERLIN Properties (Germany) Performance

MEQA Stock  EUR 12.90  0.32  2.54%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0421, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MERLIN Properties' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MERLIN Properties is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MERLIN Properties SOCIMI has a negative expected return of -0.0051%. Please make sure to verify MERLIN Properties' total risk alpha, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if MERLIN Properties SOCIMI performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days MERLIN Properties SOCIMI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, MERLIN Properties is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0318
Payout Ratio
0.3361
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-21
1
Merlin Properties 9-month net profit at 583.1 mln euros - MarketScreener
11/13/2025
2
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A. Sees Significant Increase in Short Interest - Defense World
01/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow461.2 M
Free Cash Flow297.3 M
  

MERLIN Properties Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,302  in MERLIN Properties SOCIMI on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding MERLIN Properties SOCIMI or give up 0.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. MERLIN Properties SOCIMI is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.4465% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 12% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than MERLIN Properties, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MERLIN Properties is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

MERLIN Properties Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MERLIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.90 90 days 12.90 
about 9.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MERLIN Properties to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.44 (This MERLIN Properties SOCIMI probability density function shows the probability of MERLIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MERLIN Properties has a beta of 0.0421. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MERLIN Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MERLIN Properties SOCIMI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MERLIN Properties SOCIMI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MERLIN Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MERLIN Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MERLIN Properties SOCIMI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4512.9014.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0012.4513.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MERLIN Properties. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MERLIN Properties' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MERLIN Properties' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MERLIN Properties SOCIMI.

MERLIN Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MERLIN Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MERLIN Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MERLIN Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

MERLIN Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MERLIN Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MERLIN Properties SOCIMI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MERLIN Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MERLIN Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A. Sees Significant Increase in Short Interest - Defense World

MERLIN Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MERLIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MERLIN Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MERLIN Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding562.4 M
Dividends Paid-105.2 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.4
Shares Float379.9 M

MERLIN Properties Fundamentals Growth

MERLIN Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MERLIN Properties, and MERLIN Properties fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MERLIN Stock performance.

About MERLIN Properties Performance

By analyzing MERLIN Properties' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MERLIN Properties' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MERLIN Properties has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MERLIN Properties has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, SA, one of the main real estate companies quoted on the Spanish Stock Exchange , has as main activity the acquisition and management of tertiary real estate assets in the Iberian Peninsula. The profitability objective of MERLIN Properties is based on the remuneration to the shareholder consisting of the annual distribution of dividends and the creation of value through the increase of EPRA NAV of the company. MERLIN PPTYS operates under REIT - Diversified classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 176 people.

Things to note about MERLIN Properties SOCIMI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MERLIN Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MERLIN Properties SOCIMI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MERLIN Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MERLIN Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A. Sees Significant Increase in Short Interest - Defense World
Evaluating MERLIN Properties' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MERLIN Properties' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MERLIN Properties' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MERLIN Properties' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MERLIN Properties' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MERLIN Properties' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MERLIN Properties' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MERLIN Properties' stock. These opinions can provide insight into MERLIN Properties' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MERLIN Properties' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MERLIN Properties' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running MERLIN Properties' price analysis, check to measure MERLIN Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MERLIN Properties is operating at the current time. Most of MERLIN Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MERLIN Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MERLIN Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MERLIN Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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